Alibaba's US IPO Could Top $20 Billion 97
mpicpp writes with a snippet from Businessweek: Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. is seeking to raise as much as $21.1 billion in its initial public offering, in what could be the largest sale of new stock in the U.S. ever. The Chinese company and shareholders including Yahoo! Inc. (YHOO:US) plan to sell 320.1 million American depositary shares for $60 to $66 apiece, according to a regulatory filing today (BABA:US). At the high end of that range, the offering would surpass Visa Inc.'s $19.7 billion IPO in March 2008 and give the company a market value of $162.7 billion. Alibaba's executives are now able to meet fund managers to build demand for the IPO and they plan to begin the roadshow in New York next week, people with knowledge of the matter have said. The Hangzhou-based company has garnered years of attention for its scale — with 279 million active buyers in the year through June — and its exposure to a growing Internet consumer base in China.
IPOs (Score:1, Insightful)
If you aren't buying with the initial purchase prior to public offering, you get scammed. That is where all the money is made. Minimum purchase is usually $200,000-$1,000,000.
Once you know that, IPOs are less exciting.
The end of TWO bubbles (Score:3)
The Internet bubble is already bursting, with mass layoffs all over the valley. On top of that, the "China growth" story is also cold and dead, with bad debts soaring across Asia.
This has the makings of a massive flop, but the news media is ecstatic about this IPO despite widespread reporting on both bubbles having burst already.
Short this piggy.
Re: (Score:3)
I would not say that. Yes, China's growth rate has fallen from 10% to 7%, but that is still higher than the West's 2%.
And yes, China is horrible misallocating resources and I reckon that when the bubble busts it will take the wind out of Alibaba's sails. But that is a argument for slower growth, not a falling stock price. (It could, you just need to build out your argument.)
As for shorting this piggy, as somebody who lived though the Dot.com crash seeing people do this first hand, I will point out that the
Re: (Score:1)
Amazon has mindshare in the U.S., but Alibaba is where all the stuff they sell comes from. Alibaba might or might not get rich on their IPO, and their bank will likely rob them even if they do, but Alibaba is still going to eat Amazon's lunch regardless.
In 10 years, we'll all just buy directly from China with no American earning a paycheck from our purchases, well except for our credit card companies. And we'll 3d print anything we need right this minute, again with no American earning a paycheck from tha
Re: (Score:3)
the news media is ecstatic about this IPO despite widespread reporting on both bubbles having burst already.
How much money is going under the lunch table to reporters to generate this excitement?
Alibaba Is Useless (Score:1)
All I know is that whenever any of my searches turn up links in Alibaba the results are worthless. I have to specifically exclude them to get anything useful. I could not care less how this plays out.
Re: (Score:3)
Gwailo? Now that's a new insult I've never seen before. And it's not a chinese word, in case you were wondering.
The correct Mandarin word for "foreigner" is "laowai", and it is not an insult. It is a polite term. A less polite term would be "wairen", but even that is not really an insult.
Cantonese (Score:1)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gweilo [wikipedia.org]
Re: (Score:3)
Re: (Score:3)
And it's not a chinese word, in case you were wondering.
I was actually wondering why you're wasting everyone's time by commenting about a word which you apparently know nothing about [wikipedia.org].
Re: (Score:2)
I replied the insult wasn't a word in Mandarin,
No, you didn't, you liar. You said "And it's not a chinese word".
but you assholes insulted me because I didn't know the cantonese word.
No, I insulted you because you wasted everyone's time with your ignorant bullshit about how a Cantonese word isn't Chinese. If you had said "And it's not a Mandarin word" then I would have modded you informative and moved on.
Re: Alibaba Is Useless (Score:5, Informative)
People are both right and wrong here. Though despite what the CCP wants you to believe "Chinese" is not a language any more than "Swiss".
Gweilo (white ghost, aka foreign devil) is Cantonese, and though some don't consider it all that offensive, that would be about how an Alabama redneck doesn't consider "hey boy" offensive to a black man.
But it's not Mandarin, so the OP's post of "learn some Mandarin you dirty uneducated gwailo" made about as much sense as "learn some American you barmy wanker" :)
Re:Alibaba Is Useless (Score:5, Interesting)
Unlike the U.S., the dirty little secret people in other countries want to keep quiet about, or are forced to keep quiet about, are the people they call "nigger" in their culture.
Chinese has minorities, but unlike other countries, they are doing something about it. They recently announced a policy of paying people to intermarry [nytimes.com]. If an ethnic minority person marries someone in the dominant Han ethnicity, they can receive a payment of 10,000 RMB per year for the first five years of their marriage. If they encourage enough mixed marriages, they may be able to eliminate all their minorities in a few generations. They won't have to worry about Tibetan separatism if there are no more Tibetans.
Re: (Score:2)
one could translate the page,... (chinese -> english translation by google isn't that bad)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
I know its cantonese, most of electronic suppliers in shenzhen speak cantonese (and some will call you that behind your back), but mandarin is all around more popular and sooner or later we will all speak it. Besides it would be guizi and not laowai.
Re: (Score:2)
So you told him to learn Mandarin, because he found a site confusing, and then used a Cantonese insult to drive your 'point' home. Learn French, zakkenwasser.
Re: (Score:2)
The truth is you screwed it up and should just accept it. If anything they would speak Hangzhou hu, which is close to Shanghainese, since after all Jiangsu and Zhejiang are neighbors. And that place is famous for gardening more than electronics. They speak Cantonese in Shenzhen is because they are the Guangdong province, not Canton or some other misspelling a foreigner created along the way.
Re: (Score:3)
Re: (Score:2)
Joke doesnt work without pejorative name calling.
Re: (Score:2)
What you want to say is slaowai, which is the actual insult, not wairen, laowai or some other stuff people have suggested. But you really messed it up by mixing Cantonese and Mandarin.
Re: (Score:2)
No i didnt damn it! :)
Most people on alibaba speak Cantonese (at least electronic retailers), but mandarin is going to dominate in the end.
Re: (Score:2)
Google used to let you block certain domains from searches but not anymore. I found an add on that hides results. I haven't seen Alibaba in a long time but that stupid ehow.com always turned up and was never once useful.
Re: (Score:2, Funny)
Once it starts affecting rich white folks people will "find" for a cure immediately.
Ebola is not going to spread outside Africa, because soap and hand sanitizer are enough to reduce the transmission rate to about 0%.
Re: (Score:1)
Re: (Score:1)
"about 0%" means that it isn't 0%. And these people are surrounded by infected people. Who may not have used soap or hand sanitizer anyway.
It's the same thing as herd immunity: If everyone disinfects, then you're good. If a fraction disinfects, then even that fraction is at risk simply by being surrounded by infection sources.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Lower levels of funding are *not* the same as withholding a cure. One is related to self-interest, and the other is conspiracy to let people die.
Re: (Score:1)
Making money, and there isn't any money to be made in curing Ebola...
Which is rather sad...
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:1)
Re: (Score:2)
Re:, , , and his 40 thieves (Score:4, Interesting)
You beat me to it, 'cause I paused to look it up. He was a woodcutter, not the thieves' leader. The wanted to kill him because he knew how to get their treasure.
Not that that version of the story is particularly reasurring for an IPO either...
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
'cause they aren't getting our money fast enough yet?
Re #2, Teh Beeb or someone on the telly said that the IPO was already for a front company, 'cause foreigners aren't allowed to own Chinese companies.
Also said some potential investors are shy because it's not clear whether / how long China will tolerate the kind of workaround set up for the IPO.
Re: (Score:3)
Re: Why? (Score:2)
That's not completely true. My previous employer gave our Shanghai employees stock, although they had to sell it immediately.
Re: (Score:2)
Well, kind of like how people are working without work visas. Just because it is happening does not make it legal.
Re: Why? (Score:5, Informative)
Wait. The 40 thieves aren't named? (Score:1)
The article doesn't mention who the 40 thieves are. I suggest they start by looking at the CFO and possibly the CEO and the board of directors.
*ducks*
Is this really a good investment? (Score:1)
Only a matter of time before the Chinese government takes over Alibaba, or sues because of "antitrust" or whatever other reason it can think of to get its cut. Either way, how can owning part of a Chinese business be a good investment, unless you are former/current PLA or a wig wearer in the Communist party?
I wouldn't waste my money.
Re: (Score:1)
Only a matter of time before the Chinese government takes over Alibaba, or sues because of "antitrust" or whatever other reason it can think of to get its cut. Either way, how can owning part of a Chinese business be a good investment, unless you are former/current PLA or a wig wearer in the Communist party?
I wouldn't waste my money.
You idiot. The Government of China already has substantial control over the company. Ownership is a mere formality in the Communist country. Are does the US do business with China given their terrible human rights record yet are banned from business in Cuba, a tiny island nation? And then Obama lectures Putin about imperialism? At least Canada had the guts at one time to march to Washington, DC, and set the White House alight. If there is a Hell in the Afterlife may all the ball-licking CEOs, CFOs, politici
disastrous (Score:4, Interesting)
Re: (Score:3)
"...you might as well put money in Facebook and Apple because apparently you like disastrous Titanic-caliber corporate meltdowns.."
And you were doing so well for a minute there.
Re: (Score:1)
Re: (Score:1)
A quick question from an English Teacher.
If your company is worth $20 Billion, why can't you afford to employ somebody to PROOFREAD YOUR FUCKING ATROCIOUS ENGLISH?
Re: (Score:1)
Re: (Score:1)
What you say is simply not true. ...).
I have ordered eight times from Alibaba this year and all items arrived on time, complete and properly labeled. It is much cheaper than any other website and well designed (easy confirmation of arrival, clear evaluation of sellers and buyers, good tracking of products,
My guess is Amazon/Ebay and others better hurry to improve their service, because this is one very well organized giant invading their market.
Re: (Score:2)
Sure, there are some accounts of people that never answer, but I was able to source medical equipment from India from their site. I'm pretty sure the guy was just a reseller but anyhow, he offered me a good price, I made a profit and was able to solve all my issues in English. In reality, you might want to go to China, find the actual factory, collect your shipment etc, but I didn't have the resources to do that, so the site was good for me.
Re: (Score:3)
Odd, whenever I need bulk guitar hardware, I have had NO trouble ordering from sellers on Alibaba. I needn't tell you that I continue to order because that's where I get the best price.
Yes, it is culturally different to do business with Chinese, but, gotta admit, they do try to westernize their service. You have to remember, it is an Eastern mindset behind it all. That means fewer frills and a hurry up and do business @ lowest cost mentality over finessing the customer with the latest HTML tricks.
If you cou
Ali Baba and the fourty theives (Score:3)
Ali Baba and it's sister consumer site, Ali Express, are aptly named to recall the famous arabian theives. I've bought lots of items on ali express and my experience is that anything above $40 for sale is going to involve you losing your money to a thief. Things like Suunto watches sell there under $100 but guess what, they are either counterfeits or you never get what you order. Same with Seagull brand watches. It's a theives market. Sure Ali baba has dispute resolution mechanism but the theives know
should scare Amazon and ebay.... (Score:1)
Amazon and ebay mostly sells products from China anyway. Most of what I buy on Ebay is just from resellers of products from Chinese sources. But Alibaba has cheaper more direct access to the real sources of those products, so can sell with less markup. And once Alibaba gets established in the US market there will be less need for the producers of the products to deal with Amazon.
Amazon and ebay ought to be scared.
why all the hate? (Score:3)
All I see here is a bunch of hate for Alibaba. I do not understand it. Alibaba is basically the chinese/hong kong version of ebay. I buy stuff off their all the time and it's great. But you have to know what it is to get any use out of it. It's mostly grey market and refurbed stuff. Also, if it's shipping from Hong Kong it's going to take about 2 weeks to get to you. If it's mainland china, it can literally take 2 months. It's not just for cheap stuff, there are things you can get on there that just aren't sold in the US.
As a hobby I build a lot of stuff... electronics, tools, whatever... I can get prefabbed circuit boards off there for a few dollars. For example, a few years ago I built my own stereo, and wanted it to have bluetooth. I got a blutooth receiver board and a D/A converter for it for about $15, and that sort of thing just didn't exist in the US at the time.
Every seller I've dealt with on there's been great. I've not gotten ripped off. I've returned things, gotten support, etc... I'm sure there are bad sellers on there, I've not run into one though.
Re: (Score:1)
Re: (Score:2)
I don't hate them. I will not support them, why should I? to make the stockbuyer happy??lol nope. To send my money to another country to save a few bucks nope. I will not buy anything from them as I would prefer my US money stay in the US as mush as I possibly can. so I wont be switching to alibaba ever. And im betting a few million Americans think the same way I do.
If American business's employed Americans, I might agree with you. But they don't. Do you think it's even possible to buy a Stereo or Cellphone made by a US citizen? No... except the ones I build myself and they aren't for sale :-)
Re: (Score:1)
I would expect even more (Score:2)
Which company is that? (Score:2)
Our last huge internet-related IPO pulled in several craptons of money for a company that has no product and only functions to waste time and sell users' private data.
I'm not sure which company you're referring to. Because if it's Facebook (FB), its product is space on its users' screens, and it sells only aggregate data, not personally identifying information, to its advertisers.
Re: (Score:2)
Our last huge internet-related IPO pulled in several craptons of money for a company that has no product and only functions to waste time and sell users' private data.
Because if it's Facebook (FB), its product is space on its users' screens
That is not a particularly valuable product, particularly considering how many people use adblock and other similar browser plug-ins (coupled with the general failure of selling ad space on mobile phones).
nd it sells only aggregate data, not personally identifying information, to its advertisers.
To its lower-tiered advertisers, possibly. Don't fool yourself into thinking they aren't selling personally identifying information elsewhere.
... and before someone says "if you don't like it, don't use it" - I'm not using facebook. I've never had an account there. However I know they have informat
Re: (Score:2)
[Ad space on users' screens] is not a particularly valuable product, particularly considering how many people use adblock and other similar browser plug-ins
Who has produced credible statistics as to how many people use ABP, F.B. Purity, or some other ad blocker? I use an SWF click-to-play extension, but that's it. But then I'm not a Facebook member either. In fact, I've blocked a few of Facebook's hostnames in my laptop's hosts file so I don't even see like buttons.
Relevant QOTD (Score:2)
Never buy what you do not want because it is cheap; it will be dear to you. -- Thomas Jefferson
What do they make, do? (Score:1)